ISSN 2083-6473
ISSN 2083-6481 (electronic version)




Associate Editor
Prof. Tomasz Neumann

Published by
TransNav, Faculty of Navigation
Gdynia Maritime University
3, John Paul II Avenue
81-345 Gdynia, POLAND
www http://www.transnav.eu
e-mail transnav@umg.edu.pl
Coastal Area Prone to Extreme Flood and Erosion Events Induced by Climate Changes: Study Case of Juqueriquere River Bar Navigation, Caraguatatuba (Sao Paulo State), Brazil
1 Polytechnic School of the University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, S. J. Campos, Brazil
3 Instituto Mauá de Tecnologia, São Caetano do Sul, Brazil
4 Polytechnic of Torino, Torino, Italy
ABSTRACT: According to the IPCC, the forecast for the year 2100 is an increasing of global average temperature, whose impacts in winds, waves, tides, currents and bathymetry will produce real risks of extreme events due to climate changes. Juqueriquere River is Sao Paulo State (Brazil) North Coastline major waterway. Due to minimum channel depths in the coastal bar, navigation is only possible for small leisure crafts and fishing boats and some cargo barges during higher tidal levels. This study case has been evaluated according to the relative sea level and wave climate scenarios forecasting, based on the meteorological recognition patterns of the last decades data for tides and waves. The impact of climate changes is obtained from this knowledge. The main goal of this paper is to have the initial conceptual description about the impacts on the bar navigation conditions of Juqueriquere to obtain guidelines for master nautical plans.
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Citation note:
Arasaki E., Alfredini P., Pezzoli A., Rosso M.: Coastal Area Prone to Extreme Flood and Erosion Events Induced by Climate Changes: Study Case of Juqueriquere River Bar Navigation, Caraguatatuba (Sao Paulo State), Brazil. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 6, No. 4, pp. 571-577, 2012

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