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2024 Journal Impact Factor - 0.6
2024 CiteScore - 1.9
ISSN 2083-6473
ISSN 2083-6481 (electronic version)
Editor-in-Chief
Associate Editor
Prof. Tomasz Neumann
Published by
TransNav, Faculty of Navigation
Gdynia Maritime University
3, John Paul II Avenue
81-345 Gdynia, POLAND
e-mail transnav@umg.edu.pl
Hindcasting of Extreme Wave Events in the Fairway of Port of Santos (Brazil) over the Last Eighty Years
1 University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
2 Zenith Litoral Hidrografia Ltda and Santos Pilots, Santos, Brazil
2 Zenith Litoral Hidrografia Ltda and Santos Pilots, Santos, Brazil
ABSTRACT: Port of Santos is responsible for 29.0% Brazil’s trade flow. A concern arisen due to climate changes has been the increase in the frequency and severity of extreme wave events on the fairway. The limit established by the Maritime Authority's Pilotage Regulations for the total suspension of traffic on the fairway regarding waves is when significant heights greater than 3.0 m occur. A summary of the hindcasting of extreme wave events in Santos Bay since 1940 has been presented. The findings of the statistical assessment since that time identified an increase of more than 6 times in environmental downtime due to extreme wave events and the analysis of extreme wave height values for return periods of 50, 75 and 100 years revealed increases of 3.8% to 9.9%, depending on the statistical distribution used and the return period considered.
KEYWORDS: Navigation Safety, Maritime Risk Assessment, Port and Harbour Operations, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, Marine Hydrometeorology, Climate Change Impact, Oceanographic Data, Statistical Analysis and Modelling
REFERENCES
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Zenith Litoral Hidrografia Ltda and Santos Pilots, Boletins mensais de alturas de ondas, 2015 to 2023.
NUCLEBRÁS – Empresa Nucleares Brasileiras SA/CDTN – Centro de Desenvolvimento da Tecnologia Nuclear, Relatórios de progresso da campanha de medições oceanográficas na região das praias do Una e do Rio Verde no litoral sul do Estado de São Paulo. Volumes de I a XI, 1982 to 1986.
INPH - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Hidroviárias, Relatório da campanha de medições na Baía de Santos, 1974.
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P. Alfredini, E. Arasaki, and H. L. Puia, “Statistical trend of exposure of Santos Port (Brazil) to extreme events of sea level rise and storminess”, Journal of Coastal Research, vol. 113, pp. 205-209, 2024. - doi:10.2112/JCR-SI113-041.1
Citation note:
Alfredini P., Arasaki E., Puia H.L.: Hindcasting of Extreme Wave Events in the Fairway of Port of Santos (Brazil) over the Last Eighty Years. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 19, No. 1, doi:10.12716/1001.19.01.32, pp. 269-274, 2025
Authors in other databases:
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Ai6VM6IAAAAJEmilia Arasaki:
Helder Luiz Puia:
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