ISSN 2083-6473
ISSN 2083-6481 (electronic version)




Associate Editor
Tomasz Neumann

Published by
TransNav, Faculty of Navigation
Gdynia Maritime University
3, John Paul II Avenue
81-345 Gdynia, POLAND
www http://www.transnav.eu
e-mail transnav@am.gdynia.pl
Estimation of the Probability of Propulsion Loss by a Seagoing Ship Based on Expert Opinions
1 Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland
ABSTRACT: The event of the loss of propulsion function has been defined as hazardous event to a seagoing ship. It has been formalized. The procedure of acquisition of expert opinions on frequency of the event occurrence has been described. It may be considered to be of a numerical-fuzzy character. The fuzzy part was transferred to the numerical form by the pair comparison method. An example of the ship propulsion system comprising a low speed internal combustion engine and a solid propeller illustrates the method presented. It may be used wherever a hazard analysis has to be performed of a system involving human and technical aspects and there is a shortage of objective data on the investigated object.
Gniedienko, B.V. & Bielajev, J.K. & Soloviev, A.D. 1965. Mathematical Methods in Reliability Theory (in Polish). Warszawa: Wydawnictwa Naukowo-Techniczne.
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Citation note:
Brandowski A., Frąckowiak W.: Estimation of the Probability of Propulsion Loss by a Seagoing Ship Based on Expert Opinions. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 3, No. 4, pp. 449-454, 2009

Other publications of authors:

A. Brandowski, A. Mielewczyk, H. Nguyen, W. Frąckowiak

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