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ISSN 2083-6473
ISSN 2083-6481 (electronic version)
 

 

 

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Tomasz Neumann
 

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TransNav, Faculty of Navigation
Gdynia Maritime University
3, John Paul II Avenue
81-345 Gdynia, POLAND
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Comparative Analysis of the Data on the Surface Currents and Wind Parameters Generated by Numerical Models on the Szczecin Lagoon Area
1 Maritime University of Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland
ABSTRACT: This study focuses on the investigation of available surface currents and wind parameters for employing them in order to predict the survivor movement in the Szczecin Lagoon waters. For this purpose, the surface currents and wind parameters were generated by selected numerical models and the wind parameters were also measured with the telemetry devices. In this paper, the PM3D hydrodynamic model and the NEMS, ECMWF, GFS weather forecast models have been investigated. The measurements of the wind parameters, recorded at the Brama Torowa I and Trzebież stations, were also analyzed. As part of the research, an expert method was used to evaluate the surface currents parameters. In turn, the method based on comparing the forecasted wind parameters with the measured wind parameters was applied in order to assess uncertainties of these parameters. The comparative analyses of the data on the surface currents and wind parameters have been done and probabilistic models for uncertainties of these forecasted parameters have been formulated. Additionally, relations between the surface currents speeds and the wind speeds, in the case when their directions were consistent, have been also discovered.
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Citation note:
Kijewska M., Pleskacz K., Kasyk L.: Comparative Analysis of the Data on the Surface Currents and Wind Parameters Generated by Numerical Models on the Szczecin Lagoon Area. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 12, No. 4, doi:10.12716/1001.12.04.12, pp. 729-737, 2018

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