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incidents that could have been mitigated through this
approach. To further understand navigators’ decision-
making processes, the study employs a navigation
simulator to replicate TSS scenarios where speed
reduction could prove advantageous. The simulator-
based approach allows for controlled experimentation,
offering insights into how training and familiarity with
speed adjustment can enhance collision avoidance
outcomes.
The results could bring changes in existing training
programs, encouraging navigators to consider speed
adjustments as part of their decision-making toolkit in
dense traffic scenarios.
2 LITERATURE REVIEW
Maritime navigation within Traffic Separation
Schemes (TSS) is a critical area of study due to the
heightened risk of collisions stemming from dense
vessel traffic and complex navigational demands. This
literature review examines existing research on
collisions and close-quarter situations in TSS, with a
particular focus on collision avoidance strategies,
including the role of speed reduction.
The COLREG framework, particularly Rule 8,
provides the foundational guidelines for collision
avoidance, mandating actions that are positive, timely
and result in a safe passing. However, in TSS
environments, where space is limited and traffic
density is high, the feasibility of course changes
diminish. Research by Chin and Debnath (2009)
analyzed collision incidents in the Singapore Strait TSS,
identifying those misjudgments in applying COLREG
rules, particularly in multi-vessel encounters, often
lead to near-misses or collisions. Similarly, Goerlandt
and Kujala (2011) utilized probabilistic risk models to
demonstrate that the dynamic interactions in TSS
amplify the likelihood of close-quarter situations,
suggesting that strict adherence to course-based
avoidance may not always suffice.
Human decision-making plays a pivotal role in
collision avoidance, yet it is frequently undermined by
operational pressures and situational
misinterpretation. Statheros et al. (2008) reviewed
navigational practices and found that watchkeeping
officers often hesitate to deviate from planned routes
or speeds due to commercial schedules or uncertainty
about other vessels’ intentions. This reluctance is
particularly pronounced in TSS, where navigators
must balance compliance with lane discipline and the
need to avoid collisions. A study by Hetherington et al.
(2006) on maritime human factors highlighted that
inadequate training and over-reliance on automated
systems, such as the Automatic Identification System
(AIS), can exacerbate decision-making errors in high-
traffic zones. These findings underscore the need for
alternative strategies that enhance navigators’
flexibility in TSS scenarios.
While course alteration dominates collision
avoidance literature, speed reduction remains
underexplored. However, empirical studies on its
application in TSS are limited. Debnath and Chin
(2010) conducted a statistical analysis of near-miss
incidents in TSS and noted that speed adjustments
were rarely employed, despite their potential to de-
escalate critical situations. The authors attributed this
to a lack of awareness or training, as well as a cultural
preference for maintaining speed to meet operational
deadlines.
Simulation-based research offers further insights
into speed reduction’s efficacy. Szlapczynski and
Szlapczynska (2017) used navigational simulators to
test collision avoidance strategies and found that speed
reduction, when combined with course changes,
significantly improved outcomes in multi-vessel TSS
scenarios. However, their study focused on hybrid
maneuvers rather than speed reduction as a standalone
action.
The literature reveals a predominant focus on
course alterations and COLREG compliance, with
insufficient exploration of speed reduction as a
primary or complementary strategy in TSS. Existing
studies often rely on theoretical models or post-
incident analyses, with limited experimental data from
controlled simulations. Furthermore, navigators’
reluctance to use a speed adjustment remains a
challenging barrier. The proposed study’s emphasis on
simulator-based experimentation in order to provide
providing empirical evidence on speed reduction’s
efficacy.
Speed reduction emerges as a promising strategy,
offering increased reaction time and maneuverability.
This review supports the introduction’s focus on
investigating speed reduction through simulation and
historical analysis, with potential implications for
improving navigational safety in TSS environments.
3 METHODOLOGY
This research investigates navigational decision-
making in a simulated Traffic Separation Scheme (TSS)
under heavy traffic conditions, with a specific focus on
the use of speed reductions as a collision avoidance
strategy. The methodology combines a controlled
simulation environment, participant observation, and
quantitative data analysis to assess behavioral patterns
among participants with varying levels of maritime
experience.
A total of 19 simulations were done. Participants
were experienced seafarers attending regular Ship
maneuvering and handling course at our training
facility and also two group of students currently
enrolled in our nautical undergraduate studies with
limited or no practical sea experience. The inclusion of
both experienced professionals and students allows for
a comparative analysis of decision-making strategies
influenced by practical expertise. Participants were
selected based on availability and willingness to
participate.
Bridge team was consisted of 4 persons acting as
Master, Chief Mate, OOW and Helmsman similar to
real situations on ships. The experiment utilized a full
mission Transas NTPro navigational simulator capable
of replicating a realistic TSS environment. The
simulated scenario was designed to reflect a busy
westbound traffic in TSS in Singapore Strait with heavy
traffic of various kind of vessels moving at varying
speeds and trajectories and based on real incidents. The
scenario incorporated dynamic factors such as tidal