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1 INTRODUCTION
Issues related to work on waterways are part of the
group of main strategic goals in the context of the
development of seaports. Actions aimed at improving
access to seaports are currently a challenge that must
be met by seaports serving the largest vessels. The lack
of appropriate infrastructure strongly limits the
possibilities of further development (Krośnicka 2016,
Matczak 2017). Due to both the simultaneous increase
in the operational parameters of vessels and the
specialization in servicing vessels specific to a given
port (Ministerstwo Transportu, Budownictwa I
Gospodarki Morskiej 2013, United Nations
Publications, 2019), servicing them for many ports is
becoming more and more difficult. Therefore, the
selection of the appropriate variant of the designed
waterway is currently of interest to the maritime
administration, port authorities and future port users
as an investment necessary to ensure the safety of these
vessels and further development of the port (Formela
2013, Formela 2015, Gucma 2001, Gucma 2015).
2 DESCRIPTION OF THE METHOD
The proposed methodology (Formela 2020) of multi-
level, multi-criteria evaluation of the designed variants
of waterways is based on the general methodology of
solving multi-criteria decision-making problems (Żak
2005). As a result of the use of a multi-level
methodology, multi-criteria assessment of
variants/projects, a summary of waterway projects is
obtained. This list presents the considered projects in
order from the project that has the best impact (has the
highest utility) on navigational safety, to the project
that has the least impact on achieving the goal. Figure
1 presents a general procedure for assessing decision-
making options under the proposed methodology.
Application of the Multi-criteria Navigational Safety
Assessment Method for the Proposed Variants of the
Designed Waterway
K. Formela
Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland
ABSTRACT: The article presents an exemplary application of the multi-criteria navigational safety assessment
method for the proposed variants of the designed waterway in order to verify it. This method comprehensively
considers the most important environmental and technical aspects related to the implementation of the planned
investment. The method can be used for the purposes of navigational analysis, i.e. an engineering document that
meets the requirements of the regulation of the competent, which subject to agreement with the Director of the
territorially competent Maritime Office.
http://www.transnav.eu
the International Journal
on Marine Navigation
and Safety of Sea Transportation
Volume 16
Number 4
December 2022
DOI: 10.12716/1001.16.04.04
634
Figure 1. Scheme of procedure for the assessment of various
variants of waterways in terms of multiple criteria (Formela
2020).
3 MATERIALS FOR METHOD IMPLEMENTATION
The developed method is universal and can be used for
various types of waterway construction and
modernization projects. The implemented projects
may have a different degree of complexity. From
simple works, such as widening a short section of a
straight waterway, to more complex ones, such as
building new ports (D’Angremond 1998, Dhillon 2011).
The selection of the right criteria, their proper ordering
into groups, the determination of the input table of
solutions, and finally the choice of a multi-criteria
method for solving the problem (comparison of
variants) makes it possible to present the results of the
research carried out in a relatively quick and, above all,
transparent way and to make the right decision at the
initial stage of work planning.
In order to comprehensively present the
possibilities of the developed method, one of the many
projects of building new waterways on the water
reservoirs of the Republic of Poland implemented at
that time was used. This allowed to compare the
obtained results (selection of the development variant)
with the developed method with the previously
implemented project. Due to the two different
geometric layouts of the breakwaters, the schemes of
the waterway development variants have been divided
into two groups: basic (W1, W2 and W3) and
alternative (W4, W5 and W6).
3.1 Simulator and simulation areas
The following devices and software from TRANSAS
(now Warstila) were used to perform the
measurements: navigation and maneuvering simulator
NaviTrainer 5000 Professional, ECDIS simulator
NaviSailor 4000 as well as Model Wizard and Virtual
Shipyard applications.
Using the Transas Model Wizard application
(Transas 2015), six dedicated simulation areas were
prepared, based on the following source data: paper
navigational charts, ENC maps, navigation aids and
publications and materials provided by the investor.
The process of building the measuring basin in the
software used was divided into the following stages:
1. Selection and import of partial data;
2. Implementation of data into the simulation
environment;
3. Data processing;
4. Compilation of layers;
5. Importing the obtained output file to the simulator
environment.
On the designed areas, it was possible to simulate
various hydro meteorological conditions, such as:
wind speed and direction, as well as the type and
parameters of waves. Depending on the research
scenario, various values of weather factors were
defined. The selection of the model used in the research
was based on the guidelines of the Research Team and
the Investor. The above assumptions were compared
with the parameters of all models of units from the
simulator data base.
3.2 Hydro meteorological conditions
Hydro meteorological conditions in the area, including
wave and wind parameters, which are the main
environmental factor affecting the course of port
maneuvers, were designed in accordance with the
following assumptions:
1. Only the occurrence of a wind wave was considered
in each of the analyzed cases;
2. The wind force was analyzed for representative
wind speeds, determined on the basis of predefined
values from the navigation and maneuvering
simulator (Transas 2015) in the range of 2, 4 and 6
on the Beaufort scale (1.6, 5.5 and 10.8 m/s);
3. Parameters of waves in the foreground of the
planned development were simulated in
accordance with the other studies (Szmytkiewicz
2017);
4. The wave-cut function built into the software
(Transas 2015) was used to take into account wave
distributions in the simulation environment and to
set different wave heights in the measurement
basin. This tool allows you to extinguish the wave
by changing its height in a percentage in a given
area.
Figure 2. Wave distribution applied to the simulation basin
by using wave-cut function
3.3 Development and selection of navigation safety
criteria
The procedure of simulation tests used in the design
and selection of sea waterways is carried out in the
following order (Bąk 2021):
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formulating the research problem, including the
purpose of designing, the simulation methods used
and the type of simulators;
construction of ship traffic models on the simulator
and their verification;
designing the experimental setup and conducting
the experiment;
development and statistical analysis of research
results.
In accordance with the design assumptions of the
research, measurement sessions were carried out in
accelerated time. In order to normalize the
measurements, the maneuvers of the ships were
carried out based on the operation of the automatic
control system, taking into account sailing along a
given route. The positions of waypoints (WP), as well
as turning radius TR (Turning radius), were adjusted
in each configuration in such a way that the
determined route of the vessel reflected the diametrical
of the designed fairway as accurately as possible. The
values of the allowable deviation error were adopted
so that they reached the same values for both sides of
the track.
Wind and waves are among the main
environmental factors affecting navigational safety.
The influence of the wind on the hull of the vessel is
not directly related to the variant of the waterway. The
geometric layout of the breakwaters shapes the
distribution of the wave field inside the port, which
affects the reactions and maneuverability of the vessel.
The arrangement of the breakwaters does not have a
significant effect on the damping of the wind force and
the reduction of its effect on the windage area of the
vessel.
Safe navigation requires full recognition of the
current navigational and maneuvering situation of the
ship, as an important factor affecting safety is the
correct execution of maneuvers on the approach
fairway (Ślączka 2017, Śmierzchalski 1998).
In order to determine the trajectory of the designed
domain of the vessel as precisely as possible, the
positions of the simulation model were projected onto
the plane. The geographic coordinates exported from
the test stand were transformed into flat ones using the
UTM (Universal Transverse Mercator) system (Specht
2013).
Figure 3. The printout of the vessel positions in a simulation
test with diametric and fairway limits
The transformation of coordinates from geographic
to flat (UTM) allowed for the creation of two-
dimensional charts of the vessel’s past positions
(Figure 3),. Linking the X and Y points of the center of
the model with the construction points of the domain
as well as the boundaries and diametrical of the
approach track allowed for the depiction of all
completed trajectories.
Based on the determined coordinates of the
characteristic points of the hull in the stern and fore
parts of the vessel, further calculations can be
performed to determine the width of the ship's traffic
lane in a single passage. The basic problem in the
selection of criteria is the correct selection of dependent
variables, especially when it comes to variables related
to the parameters of the waterway in the ship control
function. This is due to the fact that the navigator's
control of the ship is strictly dependent on many
factors, including the maneuvering itself and the water
area on which the control takes place. Due to the
difficulty of including a qualitative feature such as the
above variables in the model, it was decided to use the
model of autonomous ship steering, where the
quantitative values were recorded - maximum rudder
movements and the total number of changes in the
rudder angle as a function of time.
4 SYNTHESIS OF CLIMATIC DATA RESULTS
AND NAVIGATION CRITERIA
For reporting purposes, sheets were prepared in which
simulation results were compiled - the adopted criteria
in relation to wind parameters. In accordance with the
adopted research objective, criteria were registered for
each of the measurements, depending on the test
recorded at the time. In order to illustrate the impact of
the wind parameter on the selected criterion, the
recorded values were grouped using data bars and a
gradual color scale. Color bars and scales were used as
conditional formats that create visual effects in data.
Conditional formats make it easy to compare values
across a range of cells at the same time. Color scales
make it easier to understand the distribution and
variation of data. The cells are shaded using color
gradations corresponding to the minimum and
maximum value thresholds, as shown in Table 1-2.
Table 1. Criteria color scale Table 2. Criteria color scale
for quantitative criteria for qualitative criteria
Analyzing the summary of simulation results, a
summary sheet was prepared to hierarchize all
variants of the waterway for the selected wind
direction and force, assigning them the position
obtained in the ranking - from 1 to 6, where the first
place means the best variant, the sixth place - the worst,
in relation to the adopted criteria for assessing
navigational safety.
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For each variant, the sum of the places obtained in
the ranking was counted, reaching total ranking points.
The variant that obtained the lowest sum of ranking
points is the variant of the best among the given criteria
for the adopted criteria in given wind conditions.
With detailed wind data, i.e. wind strength,
direction and frequency in a given area, it is possible to
prioritize the variant as a function of wind frequency.
This is important because it allows you to include or
exclude the best ratings in the ranking and worst, for
conditions that occur most often and least often.
5 CONCLUSIONS
The assessment of navigational safety for various
variants of the planned waterway, allowing the
decision makers to decide which variant will be
ultimately selected for implementation, requires the
analysis and evaluation of many criteria. The
correctness of the selected waterway variant is
influenced by both the accuracy of the selected criteria
and their proper gradation. Processing a large amount
of information is a complex process carrying the risk of
making a mistake related to not considering all the
relevant information needed to make the right
decision.
Therefore, the selection of a waterway construction
variant at the initial design stage is a difficult and
complex process. The multidimensional nature of the
process creates uncertainty and thus ambiguity of the
results. Complicated processes should therefore be
assessed by experts, as such action allows to obtain a
wide spectrum of various types of experience and
solutions. This contributes to a better assessment and
improvement of the selection process of the tested
variants and thus their appropriate selection. In
addition, the expert assessment allows to determine
the values of the evaluations of the required criteria in
the study using the multi-criteria method of
hierarchical analysis of decision-making problems.
Automating the evaluation processes of the
selection of given waterways, in the function of
assessing navigational safety for selected criteria,
serves to reduce the possibility of making mistakes.
A detailed analysis of the conditions of the
waterway variants using the above-mentioned
method, allowed to obtain results in the selection of the
best of the proposed waterway construction variants.
The use of the method allows to reduce possible costs
(that is, taking into account the economic aspect) and
to improve the functioning of both the investor, the
client and the potential user of the waterway.
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