International Journal
on Marine Navigation
and Safety of Sea Transportation
Volume 6
Number 4
December 2012
1 INTRODUCTION
With global primary energy demand forecasted to
grow at about 1.7%/year from 2002–2030 [1], the
world LNG demand is expected to grow at
approximately 7%/Year [2].
By 2020 LNG trading via sea set to look much
more global [3]. Hence even in current global
economic downturn all activities connected with
LNG shipping industry are at its Unprecedented
Growth Phase [4-7] and is slowly inching into its
globalization era [8].
2 STATEMENT OF PROBLEM
In the past LNG shipping industry has leveraged
upon its properly trained and experienced LNG Sea
Officers to sustain its business success backed by
strong HSSE Assurance. Today the utmost concern
in LNG shipping industry is the acute shortage of
experienced LNG Sea Officers [9] to man the
multimillion dollar F1s at sea (LNG Tankers)
without jeopardizing its Safety Assurance [10-12].
3 LNG MANPOWER DEMAND
As of 1st April 2009, the global LNG Fleet is
forecasted to hit a total of 396 LNG Tankers by year
2012 [13,14]. Hence by 2012, there shall be (at
least) a total of about 8700 active/serving LNG Sea
Officers to man all the LNG Tankers afloat.
4 LNG MANPOWER ISSUES & ITS POSSIBLE
IMPACT ONTO AN LNG TANKER’S SAFETY
ASSURANCE.
The above highlighted matters has brought about
increased competition and many new challenges to
LNG Tankers owners /operators. Following are
some Safety Assurance related “concerns” that arise
in their attempt to maintain current competitive LNG
market position, ventures and commitments:
Experienced LNG Sea Officers from existing
LNG elite group are “poached” using “economic
enticements” [15,16]
“Wrong kind of” unchecked Sea Officers are
brought into the industry at higher rank [17].
A Safety Assurance Assessment Model for an
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Tanker Fleet
S. Manivannan
Malaysian Maritime Academy, Malacca, Malaysia
A.K. Ab Saman
Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Johor, Malaysia
ABSTRACT: With the world’s attention on future energy needs focused on LNG; the unprecedented growth
phase and globalization era of LNG Shipping activities are inevitable.Along with that the acute shortage of
qualified /experienced LNG Sea Officers to manage, operate and maintain the existing and upcoming LNG
Tankers is a crucial issue to LNG Shipping Industry as they are the onsite guardian that safeguard and set the
standards for the onboard HSSE Assurance. Hence the write-up is an attempt to recommend a recently
developed (tailor-made), tested/proven, practical and cost effective solution i.e a Survey Questionnaire based
rapid Safety Assurance Assessment Model to safeguard, sustain and further improve any LNG Tanker’s
Safety Assurance. The Assessment Model was crafted out after an in depth and width study/research into
existing and potential future Safety Regimes applicable to an LNG Tanker (including its current Management
Approach (Internal Control) challenges ahead, needs to reform, etc.).The Assessment Model has also taken
into consideration the foreseen challenges from the “humans on-site” with reference to already seen and
proven historical perspective and impact of human behaviors onto an LNG Tanker’s Safety Assurance.
579
LNG Sea Officers might be frequently rotated
among various types/class of LNG Tankers [18],
leading to LNG Sea Officers/crews (strangers)
cobbled together with little time to develop mutu-
al trust [19].
Crewing instability can lead to serious deteriora-
tion of the relationship between LNG Sea Offic-
ers onboard and management ashore within any
LNG Tankers operators [20].
Globally younger generation of Sea Officers (“Y
Generation”) are withdrawing from the industry
prematurely [21].
In conclusion worldwide shortage of LNG
experienced Sea Officers can lead to poor decline in
Safety Assurance [17,18].
5 CURRENT STATUS AND PROPOSAL
Many LNG Fleet owning /operating companies
already feeling the pinch of “concerns” highlighted
above. Moving forward, to safeguard, sustain and
further improve LNG shipping industry’s trademark
i.e excellent Safety Assurance track record [22];
customized, rapid, practical and cost effective
solutions are desired.
However before describing one of such
(proposed) solution, let’s revisit the typical /existing
Safety Assurance regimes of a globally trading LNG
Tanker.
6 LNG TANKERS – EXISTING/TYPICAL HSSE
REGIMES
6.1 During Building And At The Point Of Delivery
Today during construction stage, each LNG Tanker
is closely supervised by owners representatives and
appointed Classification Society’s surveyors.
These people are entrusted to ensure that a New
Building strictly complies (at least) with 17 latest
Maritime Rules and Regulations required by Flag
State, International Maritime Organization (IMO
Load Line, Tonnage, SOLAS , STCW, ISPS Code,
IGC Code, ISM Code, International Convention for
Prevention of COLREGs, MARPOL, GMDSS), US
Code of Federal Regulations (33 CFR, 46 CFR), US
Port and Tanker Safety Act, Suez Canal Authority
(SCA), ILO Codes and other Rules & Regulations
as decided by owner.
6.2 In Service
Upon delivery, during in service for globally trading
LNG Shipping Company (hence its LNG Tankers)
are expected to complied with Safety Regimes i.e
Inspection and Vetting related to or required by ISM,
Terminal, SIRE, CDI , Class, Port State Control
(PSC) Inspection, Change Of Status, Structural
Review, Investigation, Performances and
Benchmarking.
7 AN LNG TANKERS EXISTING HSSE
ASSURANCE REGIMES MANAGEMENT
7.1 Internal Control (IC) ManagementConcept
Today onboard LNG Tankers almost all the above
listed Safety Assurance regimes are managed by its
LNG Sea Officers using Internal Control” (IC)
Management Concept which concentrates on the
Obligations, Systems, Interfaces and Procedures
[23,24]. Generally IC Management Concept has a
“richnesswhich is difficult to communicate.
7.2 IC Management Concept – Challenges Ahead
The implementation of Safety regimes using IC
Management Concept within any industry tends to
be “mechanical”, with focus on meeting minimal
requirements. The approach hence leads to initial
improvements in Safety performance that tends to
“plateau” after some time [25].
With reference to previously discussed
“concerns”, LNG Tanker owners/operators need to
do more then just “mechanical implementation” of
onboard Safety regime.
The implementation shall be elevated to a level
where everyone understand, internalize, adapt,
adopt, practice, agree and promote on the values of
positive Safety behaviors.
7.3 IC Management Concept How to Reform?
To harness “hard to communicate” IC Management
Concept richness, its implementation method
(model) needs to be fine tuned. The model shall
encourage “scientific objectivity” i.e exposing risk
evaluations and decisions to intelligent debate,
critics and amendment by people affected by the risk
[26-29].
8 AN LNG TANKER HSSE ASSURANCE
8.1 Historical Perspective & Future
Since the beginning of LNG shipping business (in
early 1960’s), there has been efforts and progress in
reducing and keeping the industry’s Safety risks to
As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP). First
generation of LNG ships (about 1960’s 1980’s)
benefited from its “design” by sustaining its intrinsic
“engineering safety”. Second generation of LNG
ships (about 1980’s 2000’s) benefited further
580
through improvement in Safety Management
Systems. Today taking note the matters discussed in
previous sections; current and future generation
(post 2000’s) LNG ships’ Safety Assurance can only
be safeguarded by the integration of and changes to
existing organizational culture, personal behavior
management and management attitudes [30].
8.2 Impact Of Onsite Human Behavior
Ultimately onboard any LNG Tanker its Sea
Officers’ “behaviors” that ensures onsite Safety
Assurance and status [22]. Research findings by UK
P & I Club and SHELL on “human behaviour” [31-
33] further elaborate the above statement.
1 The plan that people make in their mind centers
around “questions” related to the expected ac-
tion’s –
outcome,
perceived gap (present Vs ideal) and
own ability
2 Individuals’ reaction to above questions depend
on their beliefs, perceptions, management meth-
ods and working environment.
3 Making known the Safety Management Systems’
key elements/requirements is crucial for its effec-
tive implementation.
4 Verifying whether the person “responsibleun-
derstands the above key elements/ requirements is
important.
5 Personal proactive intervention through the appli-
cation of Hearts and Mind” is crucial
The research concluded that continuous
improvement in Safety Assurance requires a deeper
education/ embedding of the Health, Safety, Security
& Environment Management Systems (HSSE MS).
People shall be motivated to operate the elements of
the HSSE MS, because they believe in it (“want to”),
rather than that they are being forced (“have to”).
8.3 Driving Force
From the above it is a fact that an LNG ship /fleet
can improve and sustain its Safety Assurance when
its LNG Sea Officers’ (i.e its driving force) hearts
and minds” are tactfully addressed. With onboard
educated /reminded” LNG Sea Officers and
“checked” /known Safety Assurance status, future
“hearts and minds” related initiatives (e.g Behavior
Based Safety (BBS), etc) can be easily rolled-out
and implemented.
9 PROPOSALA RAPID CUSTOMIZED HSSE
ASSURANCE ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR
AN LNG TANKER
Taking note all the above discussed matters, ideally
for educating/assessing Safety Assurance onboard an
LNG Tanker, the focus and scope (of key Safety
elements) shall expand /cover beyond the typical
existing HSSE Regimes.
The above can be practically approached via an
“one (1) comprehensive” customized Survey
Questionnaires i.e a Rapid Safety Assurance
Assessment Model.
The following write up further describe the
model.
10 DEVELOPMENT OF CUSTOMIZED RAPID
HSSE ASSURANCE ASSESSMENT MODEL
FOR LNG TANKER
A “one (1) comprehensive” customized Survey
Questionnaires (Rapid Assessment Model) was
developed adopting “process approach”. The
following activities were carried :
1 An in depth study of:
Latest study/research (e.g reports, papers, arti-
cles, statistics, etc) on or related to Safety As-
surance management in maritime and various
high risk industries.
Latest 17 mandatory Regulatory Requirements
applicable to globally trading LNG ships.
Typical 19 Safety Assurance related Inspec-
tions, Vetting and Other Initiatives imposed
upon/adopted by globally trading LNG ships.
Existing/in use (active) MISC Berhad LNG
Fleet’s (one of the largest owner /operator of
LNG Tankers in the world) Safety Manage-
ment Systems.
MISC Berhad LNG Fleet’s Safety Performanc-
es and Standards for last two (2) Financial
Years (FYs)
Nine (9) future (potential) Human Elements
and Organizational Factors related to Safety
Assurance improvement initiatives that can be
adopted by any LNG Fleet.
Reflect back 21 years of personal LNG ship-
ping (onboard/on field) and academic experi-
ence and exposure.
2 In the process of studying the above (item 1), the
elements crucial to ensure effective Safety Assur-
ance Regimes and Systems Implementation were
critically analyzed and summarized.
3 Resulting from the above (item 2), seven (7) El-
ements (variables) were identified as “crucial” for
effective implementation of Safety Sys-
tems/Assurance onboard any LNG Tanker. The
seven (7) Elements are:
581
Leadership
Policies
Resources Management
Hazards Management
Planning
Execution
Assurance
The below diagram illustrate the interlink
between the above seven (7) elements. (See Figure 1
below)
Figure 1. Seven (7) HSSE Assurance Main Elements
To ensure a clear existing status /situational
awareness of the research area; a comparative study
was carried out between the existing typical 36
Safety Regimes for a LNG Tanker against the above
seven (7) identified Safety Elements (variables). The
comparative study revealed that the existing 36
Safety Regimes address (on average) only 68.6% of
the above identified seven (7) Safety Assurance
Element.
11 SYNTHESIS OF SURVEY
QUESTIONNAIRES
In order to get a fair distribution of data on various
Safety Assurance related matters /activities onboard
an LNG Tanker all the above detailed seven (7)
Element (variables). were treated equally.
The characteristic features of LNG Shipping
Safety related matters, challenges, etc. and
practicality of conducting an effective Safety
Assurance survey (onboard in service/active LNG
Tanker) were also well noted during the synthesis of
the research Survey Questionnaires:
12 CUSTOMIZED RAPID HSSE ASSURANCE
Assessment Model Package Taking note all the
above detailed/discussed matters a structured and
customized Survey Questionnaires (Rapid
Assessment Model) and its “Supportive Documents”
were then detailed out under:
Seven (7) “Main Elements/Topics”,
37 “Sub Elements/Topics” and
252 “Survey Questionnaires”.
The below table list down the 37 “Sub
Elements/Topics” under the Seven (7) “Main
Elements/Topics”. (see Table 1 below)
Table 1. Seven (7) Main Elements/Topics and 37 Sub Elements
/Topics
___________________________________________________
1.0 Leadership
___________________________________________________
1.1 Management Visibility
1.2 Proactive Targets Setting
1.3 Informed Involvement
___________________________________________________
2.0 Policies
___________________________________________________
2.1 Policies Contents & Dissemination
2.2 Strategic Objectives
___________________________________________________
3.0 Resources Management
___________________________________________________
3.1 Roles, Responsibilities & Accountabilities
3.2 Advisors or Management Representatives
3.3 Resources
3.4 Competency Assurance
3.5 Training
3.6 Contractors / Third Parties
3.7 Communication
3.8 HSSE Committee & Meetings
3.9 Documentation Control
3.10 Checklists & Critical Operation
___________________________________________________
4.0 Hazards Management
___________________________________________________
4
.1 Hazards & Effects ManagementGeneral
4.2 Hazards & Effects Identification
4.3 Hazards and Effects Evaluation
4.4 Records of HSSE Hazards and Effects
4.5 Performance Criteria
4.6 Risks Reduction Measures
___________________________________________________
5.0 Planning
___________________________________________________
5.1 Plans & Initiatives – General
5.2 Critical Facilities & Equipment Integrity
5.3 Procedures & Checklists
5.4 Work/Standing Instructions
5.5 Management Of Change (MOC)
5.6 Emergency Response & Planning
___________________________________________________
6.0 Execution
___________________________________________________
6.1 Critical Activities & Tasks
6.2 Performance Monitoring
6.3 Records
6.
4 Non-Compliance (NCs) & Corrective Actions
6.5 Undesired Events (UDEs) Reporting & Investigation
7.0 Assurance
___________________________________________________
7.1 Assurance Activities
7.2 Assurance Or Audit Plan & Follow-Up
7.3 Internal & External Auditors’ Competency
7.4 Contractors/Third Party Auditing
7.5 Management Review
___________________________________________________
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13 RATING SURVEYED ITEMS
(PERCENTAGE (%) OF COMPLIANCE)
(OR RATING METHOD)
To enable a Survey Respondent to rate i.e to give
“opinion on” (points) for a Surveyed Item (Survey
Question/Statement); by design for each of the
surveyed item either one or both of the following
were made available:
1 Compare the “current status” against “minimum
requirement”
2 Verify a surveyed item against onboard /onsite
“objective evidences”.
14
RATING OPTIONS (FIVE (5) POINTS
LIKERT MEASUREMENT SCALE)
A dopting the Likert Rating Scale [34]
for each
surveyed item (Survey
technique;
Question/Statement) five (5) options were made
available for a Survey Respondent. (see Table 2
below)
Table 2. The Surveyed Items - Rating Scale
___________________________________________________
Point(s) Survey Respondent’s “Opinion”
___________________________________________________
5 Excellent (E)
4 Good (G)
3 Satisfactory (S)
2 Poor (P)
1 Very Poor (VP)
___________________________________________________
Hence a Survey Respondent is required to award
only one (record his/her feedback or opinion) of the
“points”.
Using the above tailor-made “measuring
instrument”, the status of each surveyed items is
recorded in a quantitative manner.
15 METHOD OF DATA ANALYSIS
Adopting the above mentioned “Likert Scale”; the
tailor-made rapid Safety Assurance Assessment
Model was ensured to be compatible with the
“Statistical Package For Social Scientist” (SPSS
Statistics 17.0) software, leading to various
meaningful results on surveyed items can be
obtained.
Some of the examples are:
Post Study One (1) (Pre-Treatment/Intervention)
1 Survey Respondents Demographics
2 Standard/Descriptive Statistics (Mean, Standard
Deviation and Variance)
3 Distribution Of Feedback (Very Poor, Poor, Satis-
factory, Good and Excellent)
4 Normality Of Data Distribution (Skewness and
Kurtosis)
5 Reliability (Cronbach’s Alpha)
6 Safety Assurance Status Summary (Overall Opin-
ion & Conclusion)
7 Statistical Data Distribution Tests (Kolmogorov-
Smirnov (K-S D) & Shapiro- Wilk (S-W) Tests
Of Normality)
8 One-Sample T Test (Trial Survey or Pilot Study
Vs Actual Study)
9 HSSE Concerns (Written and Interview feedback)
10 HSSE Recommendations (Written and Interview
feedback)
11 Survey Findings Reliability (Pearsons Correla-
tion) and Validity (including a Post Survey Re-
spondents Feedback.
Figure 2. Statistical Analyses/Test
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Post Study Two (2), Post-Treatment/Intervention
12 Paired-Sample T Test (Pre-Treatment / Interven-
tion Vs Post-Treatment/Intervention)
13 One-Way Analysis of Variance (One-way ANO-
VA)
(See Figure 2)
Using the “mean” of Survey Respondents
“opinions” (feedback) for each surveyed Safety
Assurance Sub Elements/Topics; its “statuscan be
determined. Next by calculating out the average
mean” for a group of Safety Assurance Sub
Elements /Topics under a Main Element/Topic; the
status of a particular Main Element/Topic can be
determined. Subsequently with all the 36 Sub
Elements/Topics hence the seven (7) Main
Elements/Topics average mean”, an entire LNG
Fleet’s HSSE Assurance status at the point of survey
was quantified.
All the above “means” and “average meanscan
then be directly related to the custmized Safety
Assurance Element Assurance Status Summary
and Overall Opinion & Conclusion matrix. This
enable better appreciation of the research finding’s
in term of its “overall opinion” and “conclusion”.
(see Table 3, below).
Table 3. Safety Element Assurance Status Summary
(Overall Opinion & Conclusion)
___________________________________________________
Score (%) Surveyed HSSE Sub Or Main Element
Status Summary
___________________________________________________
4.0 5.0 EXCELLENT (E)
Sustain and still scope for continual improvement
3.0 – 3.9 GOOD (G)
Sustain and still scope for further (“specific”)
improvement
2.0 2.9 SATISFACTORY (S)
Cause for serious concern and scope for “overall”
improvement
1.0 1.9 POOR (P)
Cause for serious concern and immediate
enforcement.
0.0 0.9 VERY POOR (VP)
Cause for serious concern and immediate adoption.
___________________________________________________
16 IDENTIFYING SHORTCOMINGS (OFIS)
Using the above detailed matrix (Table 3) if a
particular Sub or Main Element’s/Topic’s “means”
or average means” was < 3.000 the particular Sub
or Main Element/Topic can be recorded as
“Satisfactory”.
Hence adopting the above described customized
method of analyses, shortcomings (OFIs) within any
surveyed LNG Tankers’/Fleet’s 36 Sub Elements/
Topics hence the seven (7) Main Elements/Topics,
crucial for its Safety Assurance can be easily
identified/quantified With statistically identified
“shortcomings” (OFIs) a structured post survey
Improvements/Intervention Plans can be detailed
out.
17 COMPREHENSIVE, WELL DISTRIBUTED
AND COMPARABLE DATA COLLECTION
To ensure a comprehensive, well distributed and
comparable data collection (hence results) from all
level of management onboard any surveyed LNG
Tanker, the selected portions of the Survey
Questionnaires were carefully distributed to relevant
pre-identified LNG Sea Officers (by Rank). The
approach also ensured that Survey Questionnaires
were answered by the rightful Survey Respondents
(focal persons).
CASE STUDY MISC BERHAD LNG TANKER
FLEET
18 PILOT STUDY (PRE-TESTING/FINE-
TUNING RAPID ASSESSMENT MODEL)
To test out, fine-tune and further improve the
Assessment Model prior actual full scale
field/onboard survey, aPilot Study” was carried
onboard three (3) MISC Berhad’s LNG Tankers.
The Pilot Study statistical results were analyzed
using the Statistical Analyses package SPSS
Statistics 17.0. Upon completion of the Pilot Study
the Rapid Assessment Model was further fine-tuned,
improved and finalized.
19 FULL SCALE FIELD/ONBOARD SURVEY
FIRST STUDY OR ACTUAL STUDY ONE
(1) (PRE-TREATMENT/INTERVENTION)
The finalized Survey Questionnaires (rapid
Assessment Model pack) were then sent to ALL 28
MISC Berhad’s active/in-service LNG Tankers
worldwide.
20 TESTED ASSESSMENT MODEL
A total of 252 active/serving LNG Sea Officers from
28 MISC Berhad’s LNG Tankers responded to full
scale study.
The Survey Results were analyzed using the latest
Statistical Analyses package SPSS Statistics 17.0
(as detailed in section 15.0)
The results were then presented to MISC Berhad
Top Management. The survey findings were
584
accepted as valid. Relevant “Corrective Actions”
were commenced.
After a substantial time lapse (1 year) same
survey (Study Two (2) (Post-Treatment
/Intervention)) were carried out on the same
population.
21 CONCLUSION
With reference to LNG shipping industry’s foreseen
challenges; the way, the existing Safety Regimes
onboard LNG Tankers being managed shall be
reviewed and tactfully addressed.
It is also important to acknowledge the fact that
any proposed recommendations to manage the
foreseen “challenges” shall take note of the already
seen/proven historical perspective and impact of
human behaviors onto an LNG Tanker’s Safety
Assurance.
Taking note all the above a rapid, practical and
cost effective solution to safeguard, sustain and
further improve an LNG Tanker’s Safety Assurance
was crafted adopting a research based “process
approach”.
The model has been tested by one of the largest
owner/operator of LNG Fleet in the world (MISC
Berhad) and proven reliable.
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