@article{Brandowski_Frackowiak_2009, author = {Brandowski, Alfred and Frackowiak, Wojciech}, title = {Estimation of the Probability of Propulsion Loss by a Seagoing Ship Based on Expert Opinions}, journal = {TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {449-454}, year = {2009}, url = {./Article_Estimation_of_the_Probability_of_Brandowski,12,190.html}, abstract = {The event of the loss of propulsion function has been defined as hazardous event to a seagoing ship. It has been formalized. The procedure of acquisition of expert opinions on frequency of the event occurrence has been described. It may be considered to be of a numerical-fuzzy character. The fuzzy part was transferred to the numerical form by the pair comparison method. An example of the ship propulsion system comprising a low speed internal combustion engine and a solid propeller illustrates the method presented. It may be used wherever a hazard analysis has to be performed of a system involving human and technical aspects and there is a shortage of objective data on the investigated object.}, issn = {2083-6473}, publisher = {Gdynia Maritime University, Faculty of Navigation}, keywords = {Probability, Propulsion Loss, Estimation, Seagoing Ship, Expert Opinion, Hazard Analysis, Immediate Catastrophic Failure (ICF), Risk Analysis} }